Synertia delivers stochastic risk analysis for Australian energy portfolio operators — turning dispatch data into precise, auditable dollar figures that drive better decisions.
The Problem
NEM dispatch is a continuous, stochastic process. Standard settlement reporting is designed for settlement, not for identifying the structural revenue leakage that accumulates quietly across every trading interval.
Available capacity not dispatched during high-price intervals due to bid position, ramp constraints, or market structure.
Thermal units committed in anticipation of price spikes that did not materialise — or materialised elsewhere.
Units unable to dispatch to higher-priced regions due to congested interconnectors — value locked in the wrong region.
Bid strategies and physical availability misaligned with actual market conditions during critical intervals.
The Information Gap
What We Do
Synertia is built as a progression — starting with a standalone audit that pays for itself, and expanding into an ongoing operational intelligence platform as client confidence and data richness grow.
A fixed-scope, time-bounded analysis of one quarter of historical dispatch data, using AEMO public MMSDM datasets. No system access required from the operator. Delivered as a structured findings report with fully attributed, auditable revenue leakage figures.
Standalone engagement. No ongoing commitment required.
Intraday stochastic signals surfacing dispatch risk and revenue opportunity in operational timeframes. Built on the same analytical foundation as Phase 0, extended to live AEMO data feeds and integrated into operator workflows.
NEM-wide portfolio risk intelligence. Systematic identification of optimisation opportunities across interconnected assets, market positions, and time horizons — spanning the full complexity of multi-region dispatch portfolios.
Synertia's analytical methods represent significant research and development investment. We publish our findings and the evidence base for every attributed dollar figure — but the detection and quantification methodology remains confidential to all clients.
The Economic Case
The ROI framework is straightforward. The numbers, in our experience, are not.
For qualifying portfolios, we offer a no-risk pilot structure: if the quantified findings in your Phase 0 report do not exceed the licence fee, you have no further financial obligation. Ask us about eligibility.
ROI multiples expressed as annualised finding value ÷ Phase 0 licence fee. Ranges reflect variability across portfolio sizes, asset mix, and market conditions. Not a guarantee of outcome.
Who We Work With
Synertia's analysis is most valuable where the interaction between market conditions, physical asset constraints, and dispatch decisions is most complex — and where the cost of misalignment is highest.
Hydro portfolios face unique value-timing challenges: water is a depletable, opportunity-costed resource. Dispatch decisions made with imperfect price forecasts carry a compounding cost that standard reporting rarely surfaces.
High start costs and rapid commitment decisions make OCGT operators particularly exposed to defensive start losses and price-spike misses. The cost of a poorly-timed commitment can easily exceed $500K in a single event.
Battery assets operate across multiple market services simultaneously. The complexity of optimising across energy, FCAS, and arbitrage creates systematic decision risk that is difficult to identify without purpose-built analysis.
Variable generation paired with storage or firming capacity introduces bid strategy complexity that creates measurable value leakage, particularly around curtailment decisions and interconnector events.
As solar fleets grow in complexity and asset owners layer in storage, the dispatch decision space expands significantly. Synertia identifies where value recovery is being systematically missed.
Portfolio operators with NEM-registered dispatch rights across multiple asset classes and regions — where systematic analysis of value leakage across the combined portfolio generates the most material findings.
Team
Synertia was founded on a specific conviction: that the gap between what NEM operators earn and what they could earn is not a strategy problem — it is an information problem. And information problems are solvable.
"We spent years watching capable operators make systematically suboptimal dispatch decisions — not from incompetence, but from the absence of the right information at the right time. Synertia is the tool we wished existed."
— Synertia founding teamNEM market strategy, client engagement, and commercial development. Guides product direction based on operator insight and market validation.
Analytical model design and implementation. Translates market dynamics into rigorous, reproducible quantitative frameworks.
AEMO data pipeline architecture, processing at scale, and audit data integrity. Ensures every finding is grounded in verifiable primary source data.
Translates technical findings into commercial value narratives. Leads client relationships from scoping through to findings delivery.
Get in Touch
We'll review your portfolio and dispatch history and give you an indicative value-at-risk range — at no cost and no obligation — before you commit to a Phase 0 engagement.
We assess your portfolio profile and AEMO registration against our finding criteria before any commercial discussion.
You'll receive a preliminary estimate of what we'd expect to find before committing to the Phase 0 licence fee.
All portfolio discussions are covered by NDA from the first conversation. Your operational data and position remain protected.
Your enquiry goes directly to a Synertia principal. We respond within one business day.
Or email us directly: enquiries@synertia.com.au
Tell us about your portfolio and we'll be in touch within one business day.
We respond within one business day. All enquiries are treated as confidential.
A Synertia principal will review your portfolio profile and respond within one business day.